Tag Archives: forecasts

10/30/2016 — Largest earthquake in 30+ years strikes Central Italy — M7.1 (M6.6) and swarm hits the forecast area

A significant M7.1 (M6.6 revised) earthquake, and large swarm of subsequent M4.0+ follow up earthquakes has struck central Italy directly inside of the forecast / warned location.

earthquake-italy-m6-6-oct-30-2016

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This is the largest earthquake to strike Italy since 1980.

It has been over 30 years since this size magnitude has occurred, making this a “rare” event in itself.

A series of earthquake warnings was issued on October 28, 2016 , calling for M6.8 to M7.8 seismic activity to strike this exact location in central Italy.

See the publicly posted warning(s) here:

Here is a much more detailed warning for Italy from the same day (October 28, 2016 – 2 days prior to this large earthquake):

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Move forward to October 30, 2016 – early in the morning Italian time (740am), and the expected large earthquake struck the exact warned location.

2016-10-30 06:40:19 UTC
42.855°N   13.088°E
10.0 km depth

 

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As this large earthquake struck, many homes and businesses were completely destroyed.

The famous Benedictine Basilica at the center of town was wiped out as an example of the intensity of this event.

A picture from google earth shows what the Church looked like in August 2011:

italy-church-aug-2011-pre-earthquake

Now, after this earthquake on October 30, 2016, the church lay in ruins:

italy-earthquake-oct-30-2016-church-destroyed-damage

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This widespread destruction was due to the shallow location of the earthquake, and the proximity to the plate boundary (due East along the Eastern coast of Italy).

As shown in past videos, and website posts, the plate boundary passes directly through this location in central Italy.  The plate boundary (red line) has been put into serious flux due to incoming pressure from Turkey, and Greece.

plate-boundary-italy-oct-30-2016

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There is a silver lining to this tragedy.

The warnings we issued were mentioned on BBC news by Janet Fullerlove while reporting on the earthquake out of central Italy!

Several people across the facebook group (dutchsinse italia), as well as Janet Fullerlove, and William Pacetti, were able to spread word around their areas as much as possible, I think this made a difference!

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Special thanks to Italian viewers Janet Fullerlove , and William Pacetti who spread the warnings across the area . Thanks to their word of mouth, people slept in their cars the night before, and were mostly prepared for this earthquake to strike.

We now know for certain that injuries were AVERTED, and lives were possibly saved thanks to the warnings getting out to the people in time.

Much love to all my viewers + readers , those across the Dutchsinse Italy facebook group, and others across social media who helped spread the warning for Italy in the days leading up to this unfortunate natural disaster.

No doubt William, Janet, and the facebook group are responsible for saving lives / preventing injuries during this earthquake!  You are to be thanked, commended, and loved for what you did to help.

This is William Pacetti, one of the caring people who helped spread the word to be prepared.

I hopefully will be able to travel over to Italy in the near future (2017  or sooner?) to meet these viewers, and possibly hold an open public meeting to teach anyone who attends how to forecast an earthquake.

If you want to know the basics on “how to” forecast an earthquake, watch my free 1 hour long video showing the detailed steps involved:

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4/26/2016 — New large M4.0 Fracking earthquake strikes Oklahoma — Earthquake forecast hit

April 26, 2016

A new larger M4.0 earthquake has struck central Oklahoma at the fracking operations.

fracking earthquake april 26 2016 oklahoma

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This M4.0 in Oklahoma was forecast to occur 5 days ago in the earthquake forecast video.   Additionally Oklahoma was warned second time via a warning issued yesterday (April 25th) for new large movement to strike.

See the earthquake forecast video calling for Oklahoma to be struck  here:

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See the text warning put out again yesterday (4/25/2016) here:

https://www.facebook.com/dutchsinseofficial/photos/a.567446210089190.1073741828.567040413463103/578477015652776/?type=3&theater

This graphic below was put out with the warning yesterday.

Yesterday (April 25) there was a dramatic “silence” that built in this normally earthquake prone region.

earthquake oklahoma silence april 25 2016
Above: This graphic was put out a day BEFORE this new M4.0 earthquake struck Oklahoma. The area had become “silent”, with movement occurring on both sides of the craton to the East + West. This silence led me to make a post warning that silence is normally a sign of building pressure. Move forward 1 day, and the warned area was struck by sizable movement.

Just as expected, yesterdays silent area has now been struck by larger movement after the pressure built in the region to the point of release.

Quote the warning yesterday:

Enjoy the silence?

Silence is not good in an earthquake prone area, usually it is a sign of building pressure yet to be released.”

 

Worthy to note the pressure always finds a weak point to release as the pressure transfers Eastward along the edge of the craton, the weak points in the midwest are the man made drilling / pumping / oil + gas operations.

 

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Once again, this is proof that earthquakes can be forecast, even though professionals say earthquakes are not related over a distance, even though they say there is no such thing as pressure transfer, even though they say the craton does not move along the interior edge… turns out they are (were) 100% incorrect in their assumptions.

Many of the “professionals” assumptions are not accurate / incorrect.  I’ve addressed some of their fallacious reasoning here:

https://www.dutchsinse.com/4222016-earthquake-progression-101-how-pressure-transfers-across-plates-earthquakes-are-related/

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Summed up, has been several weeks since M4.0 range earthquake activity has struck Oklahomas fracking operations.

The earthquake forecast video specifically called for new M4.0 range earthquakes to strike the location this week.

This M4.0 earthquake was forecast to occur. People had up to a 5 day warning to prepare.
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Information on this earthquake comes from the USGS:

Magnitudeuncertainty 4.0 mb_lg± 0.0
Locationuncertainty 35.525°N 97.089°W± 1.2 km
Depthuncertainty 11.0 km± 3.3
Origin Time
Number of Stations
Number of Phases 128
Minimum Distance 4.7 km (0.04°)
Travel Time Residual 0.63 s
Azimuthal Gap 20°
FE Region OKLAHOMA (499)

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