Tag Archives: forecasting

11/22/2017 — Two Direct Earthquake Forecast Hits — New Zealand struck by M5.5 + Taiwan struck by M5.1 as expected

November 22, 2017

The earthquake forecast issued for this week called for Northern New Zealand to be struck just North of White Island by M5.0 to M5.5 activity.

Today (November 22 ), a M5.5  earthquake struck Northern New Zealand – just as expected.

This location was a topic of discussion in last nights earthquake update.  Now, the exact location talked about last night has been hit today.

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2017-11-22 07:42:58 UTC
36.521°S   177.520°E
22.8 km depth

 

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In addition to New Zealand being struck by the expected M5.0+ earthquake in the exact location warned, Taiwan was also directly struck by M5.1 activity in the warned location.

2017-11-22 14:20:09 UTC
23.511°N   120.697°E
14.6 km depth

The warning for Taiwan to be struck by M5.0+ earthquake activity was issued 3 days ago in the weekly earthquake forecast.

See the warnings for Taiwan, and New Zealand here:

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Check off these two locations from the named list of areas to watch.  The areas named to watch are in the above video, including Taiwan, and New Zealand.

Now that New Zealand , and Taiwan are moving as expected, we must watch the other warned areas downstream from each of these locations.

If you are not aware of the locations which are downstream from the current activity, make reference to the arrow chart seen here:

dutchsinseeqprogressiona3print

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In light of the activity which took place this past week, always remember to have an earthquake plan.

This week should also see large movement take place.

Don’t be scared, be prepared.

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11/21/2017 — Pacific Northwest / Vancouver struck by M5.0 (M4.7) Earthquake as expected

November 21, 2017

An earthquake measuring near M5.0 (M4.7) has struck off the shores of Vancouver Island in the Pacific Northwest.

Above: November 21, 2017 – Vancouver BC struck by the expected M5.0 range earthquake after weeks without any noteworthy activity reported. As expected, the zone directly next to the slow slip has been hit by a near M5.0 earthquake after the slow slip began to go quiet in Vancouver.
2017-11-21 09:47:16 UTC
49.550°N   129.249°W
28.0 km depth
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The earthquake forecast for this week called for upper M5.0-6.0 range activity nearby this location, therefore we are exactly 1 magnitude below what was warned to strike.   This lesser movement is good news for the West coast of the United States, and for Southern California (which is located downstream from this new earthquake in Vancouver).

It is worthy to note that Vancouver Island was a topic of discussion in last nights (Nov. 20th) earthquake update video seen here.

This new seismic activity is on the very low end of what we were expecting, and is a result of the “slow slip” transferring across multiple states in the Pacific Northwest.

See the forecast warning for upper M5.0 activity here:

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We are now expecting Southern California to be impacted by new seismic unrest over the next several days which could be as large as the earthquake in Vancouver, or a few points less.    The M4.7 near Vancouver should drop to M4.5 or similar by the time the pressure reaches Southern California between Los Angeles, and San Diego.

The midwest United States (Oklahoma , Kansas, Colorado, Wyoming, Montana) needs to be on watch for a rapid increase in activity over the next several days topping out approximately 1 magnitude LESS than what struck near Vancouver.   Upper M3.0 to lower M4.0 earthquake activity is possible near each states fracking operations, as well as near Yellowstone national park over this week.

Above: Diagram of the North American craton, and which way pressure flows across the interior “edges” of the old plate boundaries. When pressure is placed from the Northwest, it follows a path of least resistance across the interior craton boundary, which leads to the man made perforations in the crust at the oil + gas pumping operations across the Midwest USA.

As we have said in all of our past broadcasts, we want people to have a plan for 1 magnitude greater, in case we are wrong in our power estimates, or in case outside factors indicate an increase rapidly occurring.

Don’t be scared, be prepared .  Make sure to have an earthquake plan.

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