Tag Archives: forecasting

1/14/2018 — Large M7.1 strikes Southern Peru South America — Location was warned 4 days before

Today a very large M7.1 struck South Peru.. the largest earthquake to strike the area in several years time.

4 days ago, on January 10th, we issued a warning for a large upper M6.0 to low M7.0 earthquake for South Peru.

The large earthquake which was expected in Peru has occurred.

________

See the warning issued on January 10th for Peru here at about 47 minutes into the video… (agian, keep in mind, Peru has now been hit today on the 14th as expected)

________

The warning for Peru was based upon on the large M7.6 which struck to the North on the Cayman Trench four days prior (Jan. 10, 2018) pushing to the South onto the South American continent.

The South American plate boundary with the Pacific came under compression, and has released with a similar sized M7.0+ earthquake within 4 days of being pushed.

_______

Information on the new M7.1 earthquake in Peru comes from the USGS:

2018-01-14 09:18:45 UTC
15.776°S   74.744°W
36.3 km depth

_______

12/18/2017 — Global Earthquake Forecast — MAJOR UNREST THIS WEEK — USA, Asia, Pacific + Europe

12/18/2017

The new weekly earthquake forecast video has now been released.  Major seismic unrest is expected this week.  Please be ready, and have a plan.

Don’t be scared, be prepared.

See the full weekly seismic forecast video here:

______

Over the course of the next 7 days, leading into Christmas day, we are expecting an increase in seismic activity across the board.

At least two M7.0+ earthquakes may occur this week, as well as multiple M6.0+ earthquakes are expected to spread out across each region.

The West Pacific has two warned locations on watch for M7.0+ seismic unrest this week.  Papua New Guinea , and near Vanuatu / New Caledonia both watching for M7.0+ earthquakes to strike the middle fulcrum points forming in each region.

Above: December 18 2017 — All the West Pacific Warned areas are marked with yellow boxes, this week has several warned locations – each location should be hit by the expected magnitude by the end of the 7 day watch.

Areas warned for M5.9 to M6.9 range activity areas include Northwest California near Eureka , Northeastern Coast of Japan (central Japan), South Europe in Greece, Central Iran, and the Kermedec Islands near New Zealand.

Areas warned for M4.9 to M5.9 activity include Southern California near Santa Barbara, Central Italy near Norcia, Central New Zealand near Wellington, South Japan near Kyushu, Sumatra Indonesia, East Timor, Solomon Sea, Nepal, Colombia South America, Southern Mexico near the Guatemala border, and South Chile near Valpariso.

Above: December 18 2017 — All the Warned areas are marked with yellow boxes, this week has several warned locations – each location should be hit by the expected magnitude by the end of the 7 day watch.

Areas warned for M3.9 to M4.9 activity include Austria / Switzerland / North Italy, Eastern Romania, Poland, Scotland, Iceland, Central California near Mammoth Mountain, Western Oklahoma near the Kansas border, West Texas near Fort Stockton, and Northern Colorado across the Western Slope + Front Range.

Areas looking for smaller swarms  below M3.9 include Southern California near Anza Gap, Yellowstone Supervolcano in Northwest Wyoming, New Madrid Seismic Zone in Southern Missouri, and East coast near the New York / Quebec border.

Above: December 18 2017 — All the Warned areas are marked with yellow boxes, this week has several warned locations – each location should be hit by the expected magnitude by the end of the 7 day watch.

________

A new “deep earthquake event” is underway across the Pacific extending as far West as Afghanistan in the Middle East.   Past experience has taught us that deep earthquake events lead to shallow(er) larger earthquakes usually within 7-10 days of the deep event taking place below the plates.

Twelve months ago during December of 2016, at approximately the same time we are currently at — mid-December — a large deep earthquake event took place numbering over 25 different deep quakes.

Last years deep earthquake unrest in December led to three separate M8.0 (M7.9) earthquakes striking next to the deep quake locations.   Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, and Chile were all struck 12 months ago by M8.0 earthquakes after several deep events pushed each region.

See last years update from December 25, 2016 (Christmas day) here:

________