Tag Archives: Earthquakes

1/15/2018 — Global Earthquake Forecast —

The new global earthquake forecast has been released for this week.

Over the past 4-5 days two very large earthquakes have occurred.  Both large earthquakes occurred in the East Pacific, and are related to one another.

We must make note of the fact that the past 7 days of seismic activity has picked up in pace, and increased in power.

Above: January 15, 2018 – Past 7 days of earthquakes M4.0 and greater internationally, and M2.5+ in the United States shows a dramatic increase in seismic activity occurring on both sides of the Pacific plate. Deep earthquakes can be seen raised higher off the globe for easy identification. The large M7.0+ earthquakes are seen with large rings in the East Pacific.

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This weeks seismic outlook covers North America, Central America, the Caribbean, South America, Asia, Alaska, West + South Pacific, Eurasia, middle East, Europe, New Zealand, and the Mid-Atlantic.

Watch the most current Earthquake forecast video here:

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Here is this weeks earthquake forecast spreadsheet listing each area, and the expected magnitude:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vRGET8K2FcgmGwM4_dheznlvy_HhiN8KuU9u2Bc199cKFRNj9uI2LU3ml_iPWo22Kzsp60E76a8xSKE/pubhtml


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This previous weeks forecast hit ratio was 28 hits and 12 misses  (out of a total of 40 warned locations) .

70% total accuracy.

Originally there were 38 warned locations, with 2 additions half way through the week making the total warned locations this past week an even 40.

Here is the google doc spreadsheet for the January 7, 2018 earthquake forecast:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQVQLQp103YHxlM-Kk47SkAR95842SMBLIc5voPOjbdjBETzaSPPrephvZwGHyyBT5Tbp54vTe2NXJI/pubhtml

28 out of 40 locations hit directly as expected, with an average at an even 70%.

Our “normal” weekly average is approximately 75% to 80%.

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12/18/2017 — Global Earthquake Forecast — MAJOR UNREST THIS WEEK — USA, Asia, Pacific + Europe

12/18/2017

The new weekly earthquake forecast video has now been released.  Major seismic unrest is expected this week.  Please be ready, and have a plan.

Don’t be scared, be prepared.

See the full weekly seismic forecast video here:

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Over the course of the next 7 days, leading into Christmas day, we are expecting an increase in seismic activity across the board.

At least two M7.0+ earthquakes may occur this week, as well as multiple M6.0+ earthquakes are expected to spread out across each region.

The West Pacific has two warned locations on watch for M7.0+ seismic unrest this week.  Papua New Guinea , and near Vanuatu / New Caledonia both watching for M7.0+ earthquakes to strike the middle fulcrum points forming in each region.

Above: December 18 2017 — All the West Pacific Warned areas are marked with yellow boxes, this week has several warned locations – each location should be hit by the expected magnitude by the end of the 7 day watch.

Areas warned for M5.9 to M6.9 range activity areas include Northwest California near Eureka , Northeastern Coast of Japan (central Japan), South Europe in Greece, Central Iran, and the Kermedec Islands near New Zealand.

Areas warned for M4.9 to M5.9 activity include Southern California near Santa Barbara, Central Italy near Norcia, Central New Zealand near Wellington, South Japan near Kyushu, Sumatra Indonesia, East Timor, Solomon Sea, Nepal, Colombia South America, Southern Mexico near the Guatemala border, and South Chile near Valpariso.

Above: December 18 2017 — All the Warned areas are marked with yellow boxes, this week has several warned locations – each location should be hit by the expected magnitude by the end of the 7 day watch.

Areas warned for M3.9 to M4.9 activity include Austria / Switzerland / North Italy, Eastern Romania, Poland, Scotland, Iceland, Central California near Mammoth Mountain, Western Oklahoma near the Kansas border, West Texas near Fort Stockton, and Northern Colorado across the Western Slope + Front Range.

Areas looking for smaller swarms  below M3.9 include Southern California near Anza Gap, Yellowstone Supervolcano in Northwest Wyoming, New Madrid Seismic Zone in Southern Missouri, and East coast near the New York / Quebec border.

Above: December 18 2017 — All the Warned areas are marked with yellow boxes, this week has several warned locations – each location should be hit by the expected magnitude by the end of the 7 day watch.

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A new “deep earthquake event” is underway across the Pacific extending as far West as Afghanistan in the Middle East.   Past experience has taught us that deep earthquake events lead to shallow(er) larger earthquakes usually within 7-10 days of the deep event taking place below the plates.

Twelve months ago during December of 2016, at approximately the same time we are currently at — mid-December — a large deep earthquake event took place numbering over 25 different deep quakes.

Last years deep earthquake unrest in December led to three separate M8.0 (M7.9) earthquakes striking next to the deep quake locations.   Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, and Chile were all struck 12 months ago by M8.0 earthquakes after several deep events pushed each region.

See last years update from December 25, 2016 (Christmas day) here:

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