Tag Archives: earthquake forecast

1/15/2018 — Global Earthquake Forecast —

The new global earthquake forecast has been released for this week.

Over the past 4-5 days two very large earthquakes have occurred.  Both large earthquakes occurred in the East Pacific, and are related to one another.

We must make note of the fact that the past 7 days of seismic activity has picked up in pace, and increased in power.

Above: January 15, 2018 – Past 7 days of earthquakes M4.0 and greater internationally, and M2.5+ in the United States shows a dramatic increase in seismic activity occurring on both sides of the Pacific plate. Deep earthquakes can be seen raised higher off the globe for easy identification. The large M7.0+ earthquakes are seen with large rings in the East Pacific.


This weeks seismic outlook covers North America, Central America, the Caribbean, South America, Asia, Alaska, West + South Pacific, Eurasia, middle East, Europe, New Zealand, and the Mid-Atlantic.

Watch the most current Earthquake forecast video here:


Here is this weeks earthquake forecast spreadsheet listing each area, and the expected magnitude:



This previous weeks forecast hit ratio was 28 hits and 12 misses  (out of a total of 40 warned locations) .

70% total accuracy.

Originally there were 38 warned locations, with 2 additions half way through the week making the total warned locations this past week an even 40.

Here is the google doc spreadsheet for the January 7, 2018 earthquake forecast:


28 out of 40 locations hit directly as expected, with an average at an even 70%.

Our “normal” weekly average is approximately 75% to 80%.


12/05/2017 — Midwest USA – Oklahoma struck by M4.2 Earthquake — Area was warned 24 hours prior

Watch the most recent earthquake update video covering the United States earthquake in the midwest :


December 5, 2017

An earthquake has shaken up the Midwest USA.

This was expected to occur, and warnings were issued the day before.

After a long period of time without any M4.0 or greater activity, the Midwest United States has been struck by a noteworthy M4.2 earthquake directly next to a large oil, and gas pumping operation in Oklahoma.

Above: December 4, 2017 – A M4.2 earthquake strikes Central Oklahoma one day after a M4.2 pushes the craton edge from the Northwest in Vancouver.

A direct earthquake forecast warning was issued to be on watch for a M4.0 range earthquake to strike Central Western Oklahoma this week based upon the new push on the edge of the craton coming from the Northwest’s M4.2 near Vancouver Island.

The warning was issued in a video, and in text form to the public on Sunday December 4, 2017 at 10:00pm CDT.

Text of the earthquake warning for Oklahoma can be read here:

“The United States, North America , Central America, and South America are on watch in the silent zones off the West coast(s), and downstream along each plate craton edge.

North America is on watch downstream from the M4.2 which struck near Vancouver BC on December 3, 2017. Central California to Southern California on watch for M4.0 to M4.5 activity on the creeping section of the San Andreas.

The Midwest United States is on watch for similar sized activity compared to what will strike in Southern California — expect M4.0 or swarm activity equal to this amount to strike Western Central Oklahoma, in addition to smaller activity striking further South in Texas at the oil + gas pumping operations near Fort Stockton, and possibly as far East as Dallas.”


Information on the M4.2 which struck Oklahoma comes from the USGS:


2017-12-05 04:26:38 UTC
36.373°N   97.149°W
3.3 km depth

The reason an earthquake warning was issued specifically in the M4.0 range is based solely upon the seismic “pressure transfer theory”, which has been developed through years of observation.

As it has been observed, seismic pressure transfers from the West Coast of the United States through the Midwest, heading towards the East coast following the interior edge of the craton.

The seismic pressure exerted on the Westernmost edge of the plate displaces the interior portion of the craton within a few days time.

As the interior portion of the craton goes into motion, the greater seismic force is mostly MAINTAINED across the interior portion of the plate (not much loss of force / momentum), thus a M4.2 in Vancouver Island is capable of pushing nearly 2,000 miles into Oklahoma causing a similar sized earthquake also measuring M4.2.


Information on the M4.2 from Vancouver Island comes from the USGS:


2017-12-04 03:51:44 UTC
50.648°N   129.883°W
10.0 km depth


The perforations in the edge of the plate stand out as vulnerable hydraulically charged shafts filled with water, gas, and oil – which is not capable of compression.

When the oil , and gas wells across the Midwest (in this case Oklahoma) are placed under pressure from an outside source coming from the West , this induces earthquake activity below / surrounding the hydraulically charged chamber.

This creates what I have termed a “super fracture”, which itself can lead to additional noteworthy sized earthquakes.


Again it must be stated for all time to come, this earthquake was directly forecast to occur, the day before it happened.

The Oklahoma M4.2 proves beyond a shadow of a doubt that the greater seismic pressure transfers across great distances without losing much power.  As the pressure travels across regions, it follows the plate boundaries, and craton edges.  When the pressure transfers across these weaker regions in the crust(s) , the force leaves behind its fingerprints… which we detect as ‘earthquakes’.

Direct link to the earthquake forecast issued here:


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